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La Liga 2 ·
UD Las Palmas vs CD Castellón prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (La Liga 2). Prediction-market win probability: UD Las Palmas 27%, the draw 25%, CD Castellón 47% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: UD Las Palmas 27% · Draw 25% · CD Castellón 47% (updated )
CD Castellón is the prediction-market favourite at 47% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-14 15:26 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1515 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-14 15:26 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: UD Las Palmas 27% · Draw 25% · CD Castellón 47%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
UD Las Palmas, last 5: L D L L W. CD Castellón, last 5: L D W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-14 15:26 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-11 | vs RCD Mallorca | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Real Valladolid CF | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs SD Eibar | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Burgos CF | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs AD Ceuta FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs FC Andorra | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | vs AD Ceuta FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs CD Leganés | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs CD Tenerife | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Welcome2026 Polymarket | CD Castellón to win | Pending |