Ligue 1 ·
PSG vs Lyon prediction for 26 Oct 2026, 03:45 SGT (Ligue 1): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing PSG to win. Prediction-market win probability: PSG 68%, the draw 17%, Lyon 14% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: PSG 68% · Draw 17% · Lyon 14% (updated )
PSG is the prediction-market favourite at 68% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-23 03:44 UTC+8). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (100%) back PSG to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2274 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-23 03:44 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: PSG 68% · Draw 17% · Lyon 14%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
3 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: PSG 3 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Lyon 0 (0%).
PSG, last 5: W L W W W. Lyon, last 5: W W W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 03:44 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: PSG to win 3 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Lyon to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-10-21 | vs FC Barcelona | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Lyon | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Manchester City FC | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Le Mans FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Nice | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs PSG | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Crystal Palace FC | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Lens | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 4:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | PSG wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | independent.horse2155 Kalshi | PSG wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | miguellin Kalshi | PSG wins | Pending |