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Bundesliga ·
SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction for 26 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: SC Freiburg 16%, the draw 14%, Bayern Munich 68% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: SC Freiburg 16% · Draw 14% · Bayern Munich 68% (updated )
Bayern Munich is the prediction-market favourite at 68% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-18 16:15 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 67% of 2257 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-18 16:15 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: SC Freiburg 16% · Draw 14% · Bayern Munich 68%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
SC Freiburg, last 5: L W W D D. Bayern Munich, last 5: W D D W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-18 16:15 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-16 | vs Leipzig | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-16 | vs FK Jablonec | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Schalke | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Frankfurt | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RB Leipzig | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Union Berlin | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Elversberg | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | vincentvega92 Polymarket | SC Freiburg to win | Pending |