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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 SGT (MLS): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: New York Red Bulls 47%, the draw 23%, Toronto FC 29% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: New York Red Bulls 47% · Draw 23% · Toronto FC 29% (updated )
New York Red Bulls is the prediction-market favourite at 47% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-16 08:52 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1501 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-16 08:52 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: New York Red Bulls 47% · Draw 23% · Toronto FC 29%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
New York Red Bulls, last 5: L W L W W. Toronto FC, last 5: D W L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-16 08:52 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-15 | vs D.C. United SC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs San Diego FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs St. Louis City SC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs New York City FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Columbus Crew | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Orlando City SC | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CF Montréal | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Nashville SC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs St. Louis City SC | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Orlando City SC | 0:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | tobako Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | cryptoqan0n Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | manuel9009 Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Gaditima Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | New York Red Bulls to win | Pending |