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RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga). Prediction-market win probability: RB Leipzig 70%, the draw 16%, SV 07 Elversberg 12% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: RB Leipzig 70% · Draw 16% · SV 07 Elversberg 12% (updated )
RB Leipzig is the prediction-market favourite at 70% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-18 15:13 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 67% of 2249 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-18 15:13 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: RB Leipzig 70% · Draw 16% · SV 07 Elversberg 12%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
RB Leipzig, last 5: L W W L W. SV 07 Elversberg, last 5: W L D L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-18 15:13 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-17 | vs Bayern Munich | 1:6 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | vs PSV | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Hamburger SV | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs FC Augsburg | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs FC Bayern München | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 4:3 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Leipzig wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | vincentvega92 Polymarket | SV 07 Elversberg to win | Pending |