LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
Premier League ·
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (Premier League): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Manchester City FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Aston Villa FC 19%, the draw 22%, Manchester City FC 57% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Aston Villa FC 19% · Draw 22% · Manchester City FC 57% (updated )
Manchester City FC is the prediction-market favourite at 57% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-15 23:19 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 6 (100%) back Manchester City FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1754 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 23:19 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Aston Villa FC 19% · Draw 22% · Manchester City FC 57%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC 0 (0%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Manchester City FC 6 (100%).
Aston Villa FC, last 5: W D W W L. Manchester City FC, last 5: L L W W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Aston Villa FC wins – draws – Manchester City FC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-05-24: Manchester City FC 1:2 Aston Villa FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 23:19 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC to win 0 (0%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Manchester City FC to win 6 (100%).
| 2026-10-15 | vs Fenerbahce | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Brentford FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Tottenham | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Coventry City FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Nottingham Forest FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs PSG | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Paris Saint Germain | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Liverpool FC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Sunderland AFC | 5:3 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Norwich City FC | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City FC | 1:2 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa FC | 1:0 | Manchester City FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | unfair.mackerel0621 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | firebroo Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Spiteful-Outlook Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | StasPanda Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | dsadsawq Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |