LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
Eredivisie ·
FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 22:45 SGT (Eredivisie): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing AFC Ajax to win. Prediction-market win probability: FC Groningen 28%, the draw 22%, AFC Ajax 50% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Groningen 28% · Draw 22% · AFC Ajax 50% (updated )
AFC Ajax is the prediction-market favourite at 50% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-16 19:48 UTC+8). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 2 (67%) back AFC Ajax to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1766 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-16 19:48 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Groningen 28% · Draw 22% · AFC Ajax 50%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
4 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Groningen 1 (33%) · Draw 0 (0%) · AFC Ajax 2 (67%).
FC Groningen, last 5: W W D D L. AFC Ajax, last 5: L D D W W. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (FC Groningen wins – draws – AFC Ajax wins): 1-0-2; latest 2026-05-21: AFC Ajax 2:0 FC Groningen.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-16 19:48 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Groningen to win 1 (33%) · the draw 0 (0%) · AFC Ajax to win 2 (67%).
| 2026-10-11 | vs SBV Excelsior | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs PEC Zwolle | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Go Ahead Eagles | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs FC Twente | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs HNK Hajduk Split | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs NEC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SBV Excelsior | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Willem II Tilburg | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Fortuna Sittard | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-05-21 | AFC Ajax | 2:0 | FC Groningen |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Groningen | 3:1 | AFC Ajax |
| 2025-12-02 | AFC Ajax | 2:0 | FC Groningen |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Dirty-Normalization Polymarket | AFC Ajax to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | andersonadn10 Polymarket | AFC Ajax to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | dacthenuac Polymarket | FC Groningen to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Groningen to win | Pending |