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Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol prediction for 19 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (La Liga): 5 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Málaga CF 28%, the draw 27%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 44% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Málaga CF 28% · Draw 27% · Real Sociedad de Fútbol 44% (updated )
Real Sociedad de Fútbol is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-17 07:01 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1503 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-17 07:01 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Málaga CF 28% · Draw 27% · Real Sociedad de Fútbol 44%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Málaga CF, last 5: D L L D D. Real Sociedad de Fútbol, last 5: D W W L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-17 07:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
5 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-10 | vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Getafe | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Villarreal | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs RC Celta de Vigo | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-15 | vs RU Saint-Gilloise | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs RC Deportivo A Coruña | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Valencia CF | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 0:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | salvadorcarrerajunior Kalshi | Real Sociedad wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Metodo.Classico Polymarket | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Real Sociedad wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Probably-Likely Polymarket | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Pending |