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Champions League ·
Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF prediction for 21 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Champions League): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Liverpool FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Liverpool FC 65%, the draw 20%, Villarreal CF 14% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Liverpool FC 65% · Draw 20% · Villarreal CF 14% (updated )
Liverpool FC is the prediction-market favourite at 65% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-15 18:53 UTC+8). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (100%) back Liverpool FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 68% of 2075 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 18:53 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Liverpool FC 65% · Draw 20% · Villarreal CF 14%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
3 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Liverpool FC 3 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Villarreal CF 0 (0%).
Liverpool FC, last 5: W L W W D. Villarreal CF, last 5: W L W W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 18:53 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Liverpool FC to win 3 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Villarreal CF to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-10-14 | vs LASK Linz | 6:3 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Manchester City FC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Tottenham Hotspur FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Fulham FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-14 | vs SSC Napoli | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Real Madrid | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Levante UD | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Málaga CF | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Real Betis Balompié | 1:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | natal351 Kalshi | Liverpool wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Liverpool wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | Liverpool FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Liverpool FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Muddy-Transplantation Polymarket | Liverpool FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | nigiri99 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | alexdevbnb Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | clis41 Kalshi | Liverpool wins | Pending |