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Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg prediction for 29 Oct 2026, 03:45 SGT (DFB Pokal). Prediction-market win probability: Bayern Munich 94%, the draw 3%, Magdeburg 1% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Bayern Munich 94% · Draw 3% · Magdeburg 1% (updated )
Bayern Munich is the prediction-market favourite at 94% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-24 21:44 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1719 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-24 21:44 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Bayern Munich 94% · Draw 3% · Magdeburg 1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Bayern Munich, last 5: D W D D W. Magdeburg, last 5: W L W D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-24 21:44 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-22 | vs Arsenal FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RB Leipzig | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Union Berlin | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Karlsruhe | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Dresden | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Hannover | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Greuther Furth | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Kaiserslautern | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | iWasEnough Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | acorp Polymarket | 1. FC Magdeburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Myfatherissick Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | iloveph Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |