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Spurs vs Thunder prediction for 21 Oct 2026, 09:30 SGT (NBA). Prediction-market win probability: Spurs 54%, Thunder 45% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Spurs 54% · Thunder 45% (updated )
Spurs is the prediction-market favourite at 54% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-15 23:36 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1754 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 23:36 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Spurs 54% · Thunder 45%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Spurs, last 5: W L L L L. Thunder, last 5: W L L L L. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Spurs wins – draws – Thunder wins): 3-0-2; latest 2026-05-31: Thunder 103:111 Spurs.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 23:36 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-15 | vs Suns | 123:103 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Jazz | 109:119 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Suns | 98:102 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Hawks | 116:123 | L |
| 2026-06-14 | vs Knicks | 90:94 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Pacers | 114:112 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Hawks | 110:113 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | vs Bucks | 126:128 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | vs Pelicans | 110:116 | L |
| 2026-05-31 | vs Spurs | 103:111 | L |
| 2026-05-31 | Thunder | 103:111 | Spurs |
| 2026-05-29 | Spurs | 118:91 | Thunder |
| 2026-05-27 | Thunder | 127:114 | Spurs |
| 2026-05-25 | Spurs | 103:82 | Thunder |
| 2026-05-21 | Thunder | 123:108 | Spurs |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | IamLegend33 Kalshi | San Antonio wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-10 | ZainM Kalshi | Oklahoma City wins | Pending |