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FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC prediction for 22 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Champions League): 12 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 43% backing FC Bayern München to win. Prediction-market win probability: FC Bayern München 44%, the draw 24%, Arsenal FC 31% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Bayern München 44% · Draw 24% · Arsenal FC 31% (updated )
FC Bayern München is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-16 03:27 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (43%) back FC Bayern München to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1519 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-16 03:27 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Bayern München 44% · Draw 24% · Arsenal FC 31%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
12 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Bayern München 3 (43%) · Draw 2 (29%) · Arsenal FC 2 (29%).
FC Bayern München, last 5: D D W W W. Arsenal FC, last 5: W W L W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-16 03:27 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
12 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Bayern München to win 3 (43%) · the draw 2 (29%) · Arsenal FC to win 2 (29%).
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs SV 07 Elversberg | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-11 | vs FK Bodø/Glimt | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Lille OSC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Leeds United FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Ipswich Town FC | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Sunderland AFC | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | LEoNarO Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | BigEthBro Polymarket | FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | ALL6500 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | LEoNarO Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | clis41 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | buddyboyo Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | asterley Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | leCommissaire Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Gaditima Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | P1kaso Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | lucid-NEXUS-happyIRL Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | jole24 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | ulos Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Gaditima Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | VGR22 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | 09583jr485u Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Welcome2026 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |