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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction for 22 Oct 2026, 08:30 SGT (NBA). Prediction-market win probability: Houston Rockets 75%, Dallas Mavericks 24% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Houston Rockets 75% · Dallas Mavericks 24% (updated )
Houston Rockets is the prediction-market favourite at 75% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-19 17:46 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1681 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-19 17:46 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Houston Rockets 75% · Dallas Mavericks 24%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Houston Rockets, last 5: W L W L W. Dallas Mavericks, last 5: L L W L W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Houston Rockets wins – draws – Dallas Mavericks wins): 2-0-3; latest 2026-10-11: Houston Rockets 115:132 Dallas Mavericks.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-19 17:46 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-16 | vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 116:89 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Dallas Mavericks | 115:132 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Dallas Mavericks | 135:117 | W |
| 2026-07-19 | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 90:101 | L |
| 2026-07-17 | vs Brooklyn Nets | 100:83 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Atlanta Hawks | 111:135 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs New Orleans Pelicans | 97:101 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Houston Rockets | 132:115 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Houston Rockets | 117:135 | L |
| 2026-07-18 | vs New York Knicks | 110:88 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | Houston Rockets | 115:132 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Mavericks | 117:135 | Houston Rockets |
| 2026-02-01 | Houston Rockets | 111:107 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2026-01-04 | Dallas Mavericks | 110:104 | Houston Rockets |
| 2025-12-07 | Dallas Mavericks | 122:109 | Houston Rockets |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | HOU +29.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | DAL +14.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | DAL +18.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | HOU +33.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | HOU +27.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | HOU +31.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | DAL +16.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | DAL +12.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 205.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | Under 255.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 199.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 203.5 | Pending |