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Ararat-Armenia FA vs AZ Alkmaar prediction for 23 Oct 2026, 00:45 SGT (Europa League): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Ararat-Armenia FA 15%, the draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 63% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Ararat-Armenia FA 15% · Draw 20% · AZ Alkmaar 63% (updated )
AZ Alkmaar is the prediction-market favourite at 63% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-21 23:26 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2247 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-21 23:26 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Ararat-Armenia FA 15% · Draw 20% · AZ Alkmaar 63%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Ararat-Armenia FA, last 5: L L W D L. AZ Alkmaar, last 5: D W L W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-21 23:26 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-16 | vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs AC Sparta Praha | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-08-27 | vs Universitatea Craiova CS | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-21 | vs Universitatea Craiova CS | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-12 | vs NK Celje | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-15 | vs MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Telstar 1963 | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Sunderland AFC | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | AZ to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | AZ to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | AZ to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | EdgeBets Polymarket | Ararat-Armenia FA to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | EdgeBets Polymarket | Ararat-Armenia FA to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Ararat-Armenia FA to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AZ to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | natal351 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | natal351 Kalshi | Ararat-Armenia wins | Pending |