Copa del Rey ·
Portugalete vs Real Unión Club prediction for 5 Nov 2026, 02:00 SGT (Copa del Rey). Prediction-market win probability: Portugalete 30%, the draw 29%, Real Unión Club 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Portugalete 30% · Draw 29% · Real Unión Club 40% (updated )
Real Unión Club is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2039 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Portugalete 30% · Draw 29% · Real Unión Club 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | derric-terrain Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | duangduangmm Polymarket | Real Unión Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | doador Polymarket | Real Unión Club to win | Pending |