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Astralis vs fnatic prediction for 28 Oct 2026, 00:00 SGT (CS2). Prediction-market win probability: Astralis 60%, fnatic 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Astralis 60% · fnatic 40% (updated )
Astralis is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-24 09:16 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2287 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-24 09:16 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Astralis 60% · fnatic 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Astralis, last 5: L W W W W. fnatic, last 5: L L W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-24 09:16 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-16 | vs MIBR | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | vs HOTU | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Sashi Esport | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Nemiga | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Luminosity | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PRIVATE | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-20 | vs PARIVISION | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Liquid | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Heroic | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs HOTU | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Stickman22 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Astralis | 2:0 | fnatic |