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Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 SGT (PGL Masters). Prediction-market win probability: Aurora Gaming 73%, TheMongolz 27% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Aurora Gaming 73% · TheMongolz 27% (updated )
Aurora Gaming is the prediction-market favourite at 73% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-24 06:39 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2287 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-24 06:39 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Aurora Gaming 73% · TheMongolz 27%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Aurora Gaming, last 5: W L W W L. TheMongolz, last 5: W W W W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-24 06:39 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-18 | vs Team Falcons | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs FURIA | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-16 | vs 9z | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs NIP | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs 9z | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | vs PARIVISION | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs BIG | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs PRIVATE | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs magic | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | vs BIG | 0:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | james.lancaster Kalshi | TheMongolz wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | james.lancaster Kalshi | Aurora Gaming wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | coolhanddan Kalshi | TheMongolz wins | Pending |
| 2026-05-13 | TheMongolz | 0:2 | Aurora Gaming |