USL Championship ·
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting Jax prediction for 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 SGT (USL Championship). Prediction-market win probability: Tampa Bay Rowdies 85%, the draw 9%, Sporting Jax 5% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 85% · Draw 9% · Sporting Jax 5% (updated )
Tampa Bay Rowdies is the prediction-market favourite at 85% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-23 15:15 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1698 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-23 15:15 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Tampa Bay Rowdies 85% · Draw 9% · Sporting Jax 5%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: W W L D W. Sporting Jax, last 5: L L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 15:15 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-18 | vs Detroit City FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Indy Eleven | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Miami FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs San Antonio FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Birmingham Legion FC | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Louisville City FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Birmingham Legion FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Birmingham Legion FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Miami FC | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Loudoun United FC | 1:4 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oneoftheppl Polymarket | Tampa Bay Rowdies to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | clis41 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |