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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 SGT (La Liga): 10 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing the draw. Prediction-market win probability: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 54%, the draw 25%, Elche CF 19% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 54% · Draw 25% · Elche CF 19% (updated )
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 54% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-24 07:40 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (67%) back the draw. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1786 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-24 07:40 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 54% · Draw 25% · Elche CF 19%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
10 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 (17%) · Draw 4 (67%) · Elche CF 1 (17%).
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, last 5: D D W L W. Elche CF, last 5: D D W L D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins – draws – Elche CF wins): 1-0-1; latest 2026-04-04: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1:0 Elche CF.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-24 07:40 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
10 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win 1 (17%) · the draw 4 (67%) · Elche CF to win 1 (17%).
| 2026-10-20 | vs Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs CA Osasuna | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Madrid | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Real Racing Club | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Villarreal | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs RC Celta de Vigo | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Real Madrid | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Athletic Bilbao | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-04-04 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 1:0 | Elche CF |
| 2025-12-22 | Elche CF | 4:0 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | exact score 3 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | LeoTheKing Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | MoneyCash00 Polymarket | Elche CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Buoyant-Fraction Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Sarcastic-Peen Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | LeoTheKing Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | MoneyCash00 Polymarket | Elche CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | wenhaosen Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | royalgroup Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | baggins178 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | baggins178 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | gotthebeer Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | b11q Polymarket | Elche CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Elche CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | b11q Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | exact score 0 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Cannae Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | EF717 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Z2017214 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |