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Bundesliga ·
FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: FC Augsburg 51%, the draw 23%, 1. FC Union Berlin 24% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Augsburg 51% · Draw 23% · 1. FC Union Berlin 24% (updated )
FC Augsburg is the prediction-market favourite at 51% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-21 19:41 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1756 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-21 19:41 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Augsburg 51% · Draw 23% · 1. FC Union Berlin 24%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
FC Augsburg, last 5: L D L D W. 1. FC Union Berlin, last 5: D W L L L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (FC Augsburg wins – draws – 1. FC Union Berlin wins): 0-1-1; latest 2026-05-16: 1. FC Union Berlin 4:0 FC Augsburg.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-21 19:41 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-17 | vs SV 07 Elversberg | 3:4 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Bayern München | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs SV Werder Bremen | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs SV 07 Elversberg | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs FC Bayern München | 0:7 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-05-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4:0 | FC Augsburg |
| 2026-01-16 | FC Augsburg | 1:1 | 1. FC Union Berlin |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Augsburg wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |