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CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 22:30 SGT (Liga Portugal). Prediction-market win probability: CF Estrela da Amadora 53%, the draw 26%, Casa Pia AC 20% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: CF Estrela da Amadora 53% · Draw 26% · Casa Pia AC 20% (updated )
CF Estrela da Amadora is the prediction-market favourite at 53% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-22 21:04 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1769 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-22 21:04 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: CF Estrela da Amadora 53% · Draw 26% · Casa Pia AC 20%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
CF Estrela da Amadora, last 5: W L L D W. Casa Pia AC, last 5: W L W L D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (CF Estrela da Amadora wins – draws – Casa Pia AC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-03-21: CF Estrela da Amadora 4:0 Casa Pia AC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-22 21:04 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-17 | vs AD Fazendense | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | vs FC Arouca | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Académico de Viseu FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Rio Ave FC | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-09-11 | vs SC Braga | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs FC Alpendorada | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CD Santa Clara | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Estoril Praia | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs FC Porto | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Vitória SC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-03-21 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 4:0 | Casa Pia AC |
| 2025-11-02 | Casa Pia AC | 3:5 | CF Estrela da Amadora |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | CF Estrela da Amadora to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | EF717 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | ahms Polymarket | Casa Pia AC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | CF Estrela da Amadora to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | toryxbt Polymarket | CF Estrela da Amadora to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | CF Estrela da Amadora to win | Pending |