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Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC prediction for 25 Oct 2026, 09:30 SGT (MLS). Prediction-market win probability: Sporting Kansas City 43%, the draw 24%, Austin FC 33% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Sporting Kansas City 43% · Draw 24% · Austin FC 33% (updated )
Sporting Kansas City is the prediction-market favourite at 43% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-24 15:05 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1524 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-24 15:05 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Sporting Kansas City 43% · Draw 24% · Austin FC 33%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: L L D L W. Austin FC, last 5: L L L D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-24 15:05 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-18 | vs Real Salt Lake | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Nashville SC | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Portland Timbers | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Houston Dynamo | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Los Angeles FC | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Nashville SC | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs San Diego FC | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Dallas | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Gelson.R5 Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | dv-pm Polymarket | Sporting Kansas City to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Sporting Kansas City to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | EF717 Polymarket | Sporting Kansas City to win | Pending |