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Chelsea FC vs Manchester United FC prediction for 31 Oct 2026, 20:30 SGT (Premier League). Prediction-market win probability: Chelsea FC 51%, the draw 24%, Manchester United FC 25% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Chelsea FC 51% · Draw 24% · Manchester United FC 25% (updated )
Chelsea FC is the prediction-market favourite at 51% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-21 19:14 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1756 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-21 19:14 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Chelsea FC 51% · Draw 24% · Manchester United FC 25%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Chelsea FC, last 5: W W L D W. Manchester United FC, last 5: D L D D L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Chelsea FC wins – draws – Manchester United FC wins): 0-0-2; latest 2026-04-19: Chelsea FC 0:1 Manchester United FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-21 19:14 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-17 | vs Everton FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Brentford FC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Hull City AFC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Leeds United FC | 6:3 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Leeds United FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Atletico | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Tottenham Hotspur FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Fulham FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-04-19 | Chelsea FC | 0:1 | Manchester United FC |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United FC | 2:1 | Chelsea FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Sorrowful-Crook Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | manuel9009 Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |