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Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC prediction for 26 Oct 2026, 00:15 SGT (Ligue 1). Prediction-market win probability: Olympique de Marseille 61%, the draw 20%, Le Havre AC 18% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Olympique de Marseille 61% · Draw 20% · Le Havre AC 18% (updated )
Olympique de Marseille is the prediction-market favourite at 61% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-20 18:44 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2282 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-20 18:44 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Olympique de Marseille 61% · Draw 20% · Le Havre AC 18%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Olympique de Marseille, last 5: W L W L L. Le Havre AC, last 5: L L L D L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Olympique de Marseille wins – draws – Le Havre AC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-05-11: Le Havre AC 0:1 Olympique de Marseille.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-20 18:44 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-18 | vs Angers SCO | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Olympiakós SFP | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | vs ES Troyes AC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Beşiktaş JK | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs AJ Auxerre | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Lille OSC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Toulouse FC | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Angers SCO | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Stade Brestois 29 | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-05-11 | Le Havre AC | 0:1 | Olympique de Marseille |
| 2025-10-19 | Olympique de Marseille | 6:2 | Le Havre AC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Olympique de Marseille to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Le Havre AC to win | Pending |