Premier League ·
Sunderland AFC vs Leeds United FC prediction for 26 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (Premier League): 5 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Sunderland AFC 30%, the draw 30%, Leeds United FC 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Sunderland AFC 30% · Draw 30% · Leeds United FC 40% (updated )
Leeds United FC is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-23 11:46 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1473 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-23 11:46 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Sunderland AFC 30% · Draw 30% · Leeds United FC 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Sunderland AFC, last 5: D L W L L. Leeds United FC, last 5: D L D W L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Sunderland AFC wins – draws – Leeds United FC wins): 1-1-0; latest 2026-03-04: Leeds United FC 0:1 Sunderland AFC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 11:46 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
5 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-22 | vs KKS Lech Poznań | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs SC União Torreense | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Manchester City FC | 3:5 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Manchester United FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Arsenal FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Crystal Palace FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Newcastle United FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Chelsea FC | 3:6 | L |
| 2026-03-04 | Leeds United FC | 0:1 | Sunderland AFC |
| 2025-12-28 | Sunderland AFC | 1:1 | Leeds United FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | barr1 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | dv-pm Polymarket | Sunderland AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ghostviolet Polymarket | Sunderland AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Sunderland AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Myfatherissick Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | rayvanmechelen Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | suntori Polymarket | Sunderland AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Sorrowful-Crook Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Reformedx Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |