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Argentina Primera Division ·
CA Independiente vs CA Boca Juniors prediction for 26 Oct 2026, 04:00 SGT (Argentina Primera Division). Prediction-market win probability: CA Independiente 25%, the draw 29%, CA Boca Juniors 44% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: CA Independiente 25% · Draw 29% · CA Boca Juniors 44% (updated )
CA Boca Juniors is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-20 11:42 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1586 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-20 11:42 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: CA Independiente 25% · Draw 29% · CA Boca Juniors 44%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
CA Independiente, last 5: D D L W D. CA Boca Juniors, last 5: W D W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-20 11:42 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-19 | vs Racing Club | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-12 | vs CA Talleres | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Instituto AC Córdoba | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CA Unión | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs CA Talleres | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Instituto AC Córdoba | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-03 | vs CA Unión | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CA Central Córdoba | 3:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | 0x6eb0…45c2 Polymarket | CA Boca Juniors to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | CA Boca Juniors to win | Pending |