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Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for 20 Oct 2026, 08:08 SGT (MLB): 19 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 93% backing Tampa Bay Rays to win. Prediction-market win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 57%, Cleveland Guardians 43% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Tampa Bay Rays 57% · Cleveland Guardians 43% (updated )
Tampa Bay Rays is the prediction-market favourite at 57% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-19 23:17 UTC+8). Of 14 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 13 (93%) back Tampa Bay Rays to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1922 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-19 23:17 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Tampa Bay Rays 57% · Cleveland Guardians 43%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
19 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tampa Bay Rays 13 (93%) · Cleveland Guardians 1 (7%).
Tampa Bay Rays, last 5: W W L W L. Cleveland Guardians, last 5: L L W L W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Tampa Bay Rays wins – draws – Cleveland Guardians wins): 3-0-2; latest 2026-10-19: Cleveland Guardians 1:3 Tampa Bay Rays.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-19 23:17 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
19 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tampa Bay Rays to win 13 (93%) · Cleveland Guardians to win 1 (7%).
| 2026-10-19 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 7:3 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:7 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 3:7 | L |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 7:3 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | Cleveland Guardians | 1:3 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians | 3:7 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2026-10-16 | Cleveland Guardians | 3:2 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3:1 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3:7 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | tmacate4 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | daring.tiger4059 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Dabstar90 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | smithklinton Kalshi | CLE -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | vague.cat2547 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | kicker31 Kalshi | F5 Under 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | clis41 Kalshi | F5 CLE -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | demigod0319 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | jetgrinder6000 Kalshi | CLE +2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | kicker31 Kalshi | F5 CLE -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Jason.Quijano23 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | ghost.rank Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | best.spy Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | deskpop11 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Team Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Team Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | F5 Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Over 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | TB -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Alpha07Uchiha Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | LoBlow Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | CraftyCoyote777 Kalshi | F5 TB +1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | detailed.spaniel4309 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | kicker31 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | kicker31 Kalshi | F5 Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | lydia0507 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | right.boom Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | kicker31 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | kicker31 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |