Intl Friendlies ·
Iraq vs Lebanon prediction for 13 Nov 2026, 23:00 SGT (Intl Friendlies). Prediction-market win probability: Iraq 71%, the draw 19%, Lebanon 8% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Iraq 71% · Draw 19% · Lebanon 8% (updated )
Iraq is the prediction-market favourite at 71% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-13 21:37 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2585 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-13 21:37 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Iraq 71% · Draw 19% · Lebanon 8%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Iraq, last 5: L W L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-13 21:37 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-30 | vs Saudi Arabia | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Kuwait | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-06-27 | vs Senegal | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-06-23 | vs France | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-06-17 | vs Norway | 1:4 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | MrPompasticLoverShagy33.3 Kalshi | Iraq wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Khalilayyoobi Kalshi | Iraq wins | Pending |