Nations League ·
Finland vs San Marino prediction for 16 Nov 2026, 01:00 SGT (Nations League): 13 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 50% backing San Marino to win. Prediction-market win probability: Finland 94%, the draw 4%, San Marino 1% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Finland 94% · Draw 4% · San Marino 1% (updated )
Finland is the prediction-market favourite at 94% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-14 23:02 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (50%) back San Marino to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 88% of 2484 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 23:02 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Finland 94% · Draw 4% · San Marino 1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
13 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Finland 2 (33%) · Draw 1 (17%) · San Marino 3 (50%).
Finland, last 5: L L W D W. San Marino, last 5: L L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 23:02 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
13 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Finland to win 2 (33%) · the draw 1 (17%) · San Marino to win 3 (50%).
| 2026-11-13 | vs Albania | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | vs Belarus | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Albania | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Belarus | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-26 | vs San Marino | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-11-13 | vs Belarus | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | vs Albania | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Belarus | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Albania | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Finland | 0:7 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland vs San Marino O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland vs San Marino O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | doador Polymarket | Finland vs San Marino O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | doador Polymarket | Finland vs San Marino O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | doador Polymarket | Finland vs San Marino O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | doador Polymarket | Finland vs San Marino O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | screeching.beetle3501 Kalshi | Over 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0xc6fd…53df Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hydra1248 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | c231dw1 Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | c231dw1 Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | AvocadosFromMexico Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | macrosteaks Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | lbtrading Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | c231dw1 Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | lbtrading Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | trampec Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Warlike-Cartel-Lapdog Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | OranG3 Polymarket | San Marino to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | BlackMamba08 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | oneoftheppl Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | BlackMamba08 Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | BoxesOfBallz Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | cosmicsteaks Polymarket | Finland to win | Pending |