Nations League ·
Belgium vs Italy prediction for 16 Nov 2026, 03:45 SGT (Nations League): 23 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing Italy to win. Prediction-market win probability: Belgium 42%, the draw 25%, Italy 32% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Belgium 42% · Draw 25% · Italy 32% (updated )
Belgium is the prediction-market favourite at 42% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-15 10:56 UTC+8). Of 15 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 10 (67%) back Italy to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2002 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 10:56 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Belgium 42% · Draw 25% · Italy 32%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
23 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Belgium 5 (33%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Italy 10 (67%).
Belgium, last 5: W L W L W. Italy, last 5: W W D W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 10:56 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
23 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Belgium to win 5 (33%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Italy to win 10 (67%).
| 2026-11-13 | vs Türkiye | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs France | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Türkiye | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs France | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Italy | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-11-13 | vs France | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Türkiye | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs France | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Türkiye | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Belgium | 0:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | jag26969 Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | famedray Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Sielent Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | MadridTime Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | flat.puma3393 Kalshi | Italy wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Gelson.R5 Kalshi | Italy wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | GC-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | cuna Kalshi | Belgium wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | fhzw Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x765e…36dd Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | sbsigner Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | deboonker Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | InvestorBroadenOut Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | HitandRun808 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hydra1248 Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Kungfumaso Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | cocoColombo Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |