Nations League ·
Greece vs Serbia prediction for 17 Nov 2026, 03:45 SGT (Nations League). Prediction-market win probability: Greece 66%, the draw 20%, Serbia 13% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Greece 66% · Draw 20% · Serbia 13% (updated )
Greece is the prediction-market favourite at 66% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-14 16:33 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2610 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 16:33 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Greece 66% · Draw 20% · Serbia 13%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Greece, last 5: L D D W W. Serbia, last 5: L L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 16:33 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-11-14 | vs Netherlands | 0:7 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Germany | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Netherlands | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Germany | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Serbia | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-11-14 | vs Germany | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Netherlands | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Germany | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Netherlands | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Greece | 1:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0x7c25…e741 Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | unfair.mackerel0621 Kalshi | Greece wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | DannyCipriani Polymarket | draw | Pending |