Primera Federación ·
SD Ponferradina vs CP Cacereno SAD prediction for 14 Nov 2026, 02:00 SGT (Primera Federación). Prediction-market win probability: SD Ponferradina 45%, the draw 32%, CP Cacereno SAD 23% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: SD Ponferradina 45% · Draw 32% · CP Cacereno SAD 23% (updated )
SD Ponferradina is the prediction-market favourite at 45% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-13 21:37 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1968 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-13 21:37 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: SD Ponferradina 45% · Draw 32% · CP Cacereno SAD 23%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
SD Ponferradina, last 5: D D D D D. CP Cacereno SAD, last 5: L L W L D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-13 21:37 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-11-09 | vs Cultural Leonesa | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-31 | vs Racing Club de Ferrol | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-28 | vs Llanera | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Barakaldo | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Zamora Cf | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-11-07 | vs CD Lugo | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-31 | vs Athletic Bilbao B | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Zamora Cf | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Pontevedra | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | doador Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | BBCsaLainari Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | worknplay Polymarket | SD Ponferradina to win | Pending |