FIFA World Cup · soccer
Ecuador men's national football team (FIFA World Cup): 14 matches, 9736 expert predictions, 58.8% overall accuracy. Includes the experts who call this team best, plus every match on record.
| Expert | Records | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| lost.leaf Kalshi | 26 | 92.3% |
| tstaff Kalshi | 16 | 81.3% |
| JaiShreeSanwariyaSeth Kalshi | 15 | 66.7% |
| Ru386 Polymarket | 22 | 63.6% |
| tengentoppa Polymarket | 29 | 58.6% |
| akwilson Kalshi | 16 | 56.3% |
| 0x29c4…6b0e SX Bet | 49 | 49% |
| fresh.spy Kalshi | 17 | 47.1% |
Method: accuracy is the share of settled predictions that were correct; pending ones are excluded from the denominator. The expert ranking lists only those with at least 15 records here. Figures aggregate public prediction-market records and are recomputed once a day.