Polymarket · 棒球
LightningAndTheThunder，Polymarket 上的 MLB 高手：85 单、命中率 63.5%、盈利 $4K。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 60 条：命中 25、未中 35，这批记录的命中率为 41.7%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 36 | 36 | 19 | 52.8% |
| WNBA | 24 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
LightningAndTheThunder 主要预测MLB：最近 60 条记录中有 36 条。平台：Polymarket。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：85 单、命中率 63.5%、盈亏 $4K、回报率 12.9%。在MLB，最近 36 条已结算预测中命中 19 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Polymarket 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-09-10 12:49 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Philadelphia Phillies 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies 大小球 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-09 | Baltimore Orioles 9:5 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland Guardians 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 9:2 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington Nationals 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-09 | Chicago White Sox 2:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Chicago White Sox 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis Cardinals 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-09 | Athletics 2:0 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-09 | Detroit Tigers 7:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 大小球 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-06 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Cleveland Guardians 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-06 | Kansas City Royals 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Houston Astros 3:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Houston Astros 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chicago White Sox 4:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Miami Marlins 1:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago Cubs 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Baltimore Orioles 0:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston Red Sox 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 2:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Philadelphia Phillies 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-01 | Texas Rangers 8:5 Athletics MLB | Athletics vs Texas Rangers 大小球 7.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 3:7 New York Yankees MLB | New York Yankees 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals 9:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta Braves 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego Padres 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-31 | Tampa Bay Rays 2:3 New York Mets MLB | Tampa Bay Rays 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-31 | Texas Rangers 8:1 Athletics MLB | Texas Rangers 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-31 | Texas Rangers 8:5 Athletics MLB | Texas Rangers 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-31 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia Phillies 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-30 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 101:69 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Phoenix Mercury 让球 -9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-30 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 101:69 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Phoenix Mercury 让球 -9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-30 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 101:69 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Phoenix Mercury 让球 -9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-30 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 101:69 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Phoenix Mercury 让球 -9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-30 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 101:69 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Phoenix Mercury 让球 -9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-30 | Chicago Cubs 17:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago Cubs 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-28 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-28 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 60:79 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 未中 |
| 2026-08-24 | Detroit Tigers 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-24 | San Francisco Giants 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati Reds 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 8:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego Padres 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 109:102 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty 大小球 187.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 109:102 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty 大小球 187.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 109:102 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty 大小球 187.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | San Diego Padres 7:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres 大小球 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | 华盛顿神秘 (Washington Mystics) 84:94 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics | 未中 |
| 2026-08-22 | 华盛顿神秘 (Washington Mystics) 84:94 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics | 未中 |
| 2026-08-21 | San Diego Padres 6:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-21 | 华盛顿神秘 (Washington Mystics) 84:94 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics | 未中 |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati Reds 9:10 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis Cardinals 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 6:2 Athletics MLB | Kansas City Royals 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle Mariners 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-20 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 66:77 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries | 命中 |
| 2026-08-20 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 66:77 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries | 命中 |
| 2026-08-19 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 66:77 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries | 命中 |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-18 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 78:70 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) WNBA | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | 未中 |
| 2026-08-18 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 78:70 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries 让球 -6.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-18 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 78:70 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) WNBA | Golden State Valkyries 让球 -6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:10 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays 获胜 | 命中 |