Kalshi · 棒球 · 橄榄球
bad.sword，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：26 单、命中率 71.4%、盈利 $237。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 38 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 38 条：命中 23、未中 15，这批记录的命中率为 60.5%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 24 | 24 | 17 | 70.8% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
bad.sword 主要预测MLB：最近 38 条记录中有 24 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：26 单、命中率 71.4%、盈亏 $237、回报率 50.6%。在MLB，最近 24 条已结算预测中命中 17 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-09-21 07:17 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
LWWWL
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | Washington wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Denver wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14:26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-19 | New England Patriots 20:3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | NE -5.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-02 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-05 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 92:81 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-28 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-25 | Boston Red Sox 0:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-23 | Boston Red Sox 1:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-21 | Boston Red Sox 6:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-20 | Boston Red Sox 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-18 | Boston Red Sox 7:6 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-15 | 英格兰足球代表队 (England) 1:2 阿根廷国家足球队 (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: First Goalscorer | 未中 |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 西班牙国家足球队 (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | 未中 |
| 2026-07-14 | 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) 104:100 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-13 | 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 96:91 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-11 | New York Mets 0:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-10 | New York Mets 0:4 Boston MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-09 | Chicago WS 1:2 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chicago WS 1:2 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chicago WS 0:5 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-01 | Boston 2:10 Washington MLB | Washington vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-29 | Boston 6:3 Washington MLB | Washington vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | 捷克国家足球队 (Czechia) 0:3 墨西哥国家足球队 (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 109:111 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) WNBA | Phoenix vs Indiana winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-24 | 摩洛哥国家足球队 (Morocco) 4:2 海地国家足球队 (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | 未中 |