Europa League ·
里斯本与本菲卡 vs 波兹南莱赫 预测（Europa League，新加坡时间 2026年11月6日 04:00）：35位在 Polymarket/Kalshi 上盈利的高手已经下单，71% 看好里斯本与本菲卡胜。预测市场胜率：里斯本与本菲卡 87%、平局 8%、波兹南莱赫 5% (Kalshi)。附两队近况、交锋记录和每位高手的选择。
Kalshi 最新概率: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 87% · 平局 8% · KKS Lech Poznań 5% (更新于 )
预测市场最看好里斯本与本菲卡，胜率 87%（Kalshi，截至 2026-11-05 22:24 UTC+8）。在 17 位持有胜平负仓位的盈利高手中，12 位（71%）选择里斯本与本菲卡胜。近 30 天，开赛前概率在 ≥75% 的市场热门方，在我们追踪的 2036 场已完赛比赛中赢了 85%。以上为数据参考，并非保证赛果。
截至 2026-11-05 22:24 UTC+8，Kalshi 显示：里斯本与本菲卡 87%、平局 8%、波兹南莱赫 5%。这是平台显示价，未做归一，合计可能略高于 100%。
35 位盈利高手（在 Tips 上架、累计盈亏为正）持有本场仓位。每人最近一笔胜平负选择：里斯本与本菲卡 12 (71%)、平局 2 (12%)、波兹南莱赫 3 (18%)。
里斯本与本菲卡 近 5 场：胜 胜 胜 胜 胜。波兹南莱赫 近 5 场：平 负 负 平 胜。
数据来源：Polymarket、Kalshi 公开价格与持仓；比赛结果来自公开体育数据。数据截至 2026-11-05 22:24 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
35位盈利高手持有本场仓位。每人最近一笔胜平负选择：里斯本与本菲卡胜 12 (71%) · 平局 2 (12%) · 波兹南莱赫胜 3 (18%)。
| 2026-11-03 | vs FC Alverca | 1:0 | 胜 |
| 2026-10-27 | vs CD Santa Clara | 2:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-10-23 | vs AS Omónoia Leukosías | 4:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Celtic FC | 4:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Vitória SC | 2:0 | 胜 |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Sunderland AFC | 1:1 | 平 |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0:4 | 负 |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Crystal Palace FC | 0:4 | 负 |
| 2026-08-28 | vs FC Thun | 2:2 | 平 |
| 2026-08-21 | vs FC Thun | 7:0 | 胜 |
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | doador Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 5.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | KKS Lech Poznań 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | KKS Lech Poznań 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -3.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | 0xe5da…b6f6 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | 0x9f15…bdb3 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 3.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 3.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 3.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -3.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -3.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | testyeagles Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | marcoisno.1 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | marcoisno.1 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | marcoisno.1 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | doador Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 5.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | doador Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań 大小球 5.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | AvocadosFromMexico Polymarket | 角球 13.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 让球 -2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | testyeagles Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | testyeagles Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | testyeagles Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | testyeagles Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-11-05 | testyeagles Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |