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Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF 预测（La Liga，新加坡时间 2026年10月11日 03:00）：39位在 Polymarket/Kalshi 上盈利的高手已经下单，76% 看好Real Madrid胜。预测市场胜率：Real Madrid 72%、平局 16%、Villarreal CF 13% (Polymarket)。附两队近况、交锋记录和每位高手的选择。
Polymarket 最新概率: Real Madrid 72% · 平局 16% · Villarreal CF 13% (更新于 )
预测市场最看好Real Madrid，胜率 72%（Polymarket，截至 2026-10-10 06:09 UTC+8）。在 25 位持有胜平负仓位的盈利高手中，19 位（76%）选择Real Madrid胜。近 30 天，开赛前概率在 60–75% 的市场热门方，在我们追踪的 1833 场已完赛比赛中赢了 58%。以上为数据参考，并非保证赛果。
截至 2026-10-10 06:09 UTC+8，Polymarket 显示：Real Madrid 72%、平局 16%、Villarreal CF 13%。这是平台显示价，未做归一，合计可能略高于 100%。
39 位盈利高手（在 Tips 上架、累计盈亏为正）持有本场仓位。每人最近一笔胜平负选择：Real Madrid 19 (76%)、平局 2 (8%)、Villarreal CF 4 (16%)。
Real Madrid 近 5 场：负 负 胜 胜 胜。Villarreal CF 近 5 场：胜 胜 负 负 负。近 2 次交锋（Real Madrid 胜－平－Villarreal CF 胜）：2-0-0；最近一次 2026-01-25：Villarreal CF 0:2 Real Madrid。
数据来源：Polymarket、Kalshi 公开价格与持仓；比赛结果来自公开体育数据。数据截至 2026-10-10 06:09 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
39位盈利高手持有本场仓位。每人最近一笔胜平负选择：Real Madrid胜 19 (76%) · 平局 2 (8%) · Villarreal CF胜 4 (16%)。
| 2026-09-20 | vs Atletico | 1:2 | 负 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 1:2 | 负 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Elche CF | 3:2 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Vallecano | 4:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Rayo Vallecano | 4:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Levante UD | 3:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Malaga | 3:1 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Real Betis | 1:2 | 负 |
| 2026-09-09 | vs BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 2:3 | 负 |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Borussia Dortmund | 2:3 | 负 |
| 2026-01-25 | Villarreal CF | 0:2 | Real Madrid |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Madrid | 3:1 | Villarreal CF |
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | Cannae Polymarket | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF 大小球 2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | santosvs02 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | legitimate.sloth7307 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | legitimate.sloth7307 Kalshi | RMA -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | jrf96 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | farhana623 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 3-1 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | Mediocre-Noir Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | dv-pm Polymarket | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF 大小球 1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | 精确比分 2 - 1 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | Feisty-Producer Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | Alganda Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | Immense-Collateral-Snuggle Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | jrf96 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | bredxiao Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | 0x2759…2b38 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | Costly-Compass-Monitor Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | 0xc481…2bbb Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | votiverocket Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | 0xd06b…3353 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | Mysouil Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | TicketToManly Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF 大小球 4.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | jorgeadrian Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-09 | ss0855 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | ss0855 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | ulos Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | NiklausV Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 让球 -1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | maraya Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | vincentvega92 Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | jomag Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Real Madrid CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-07 | Elia12 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF 大小球 0.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-07 | Elia12 Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-07 | Elia12 Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-07 | Oddstorm Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-07 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | 平局 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-07 | Elia12 Polymarket | Villarreal CF 获胜 | 待结算 |