APF División de Honor ·
CD Recoleta vs Libertad 预测（APF División de Honor，新加坡时间 2026年10月5日 21:00）：79位在 Polymarket/Kalshi 上盈利的高手已经下单，52% 看好Libertad胜。预测市场胜率：CD Recoleta 24%、平局 38%、Libertad 30% (Kalshi)。附两队近况、交锋记录和每位高手的选择。
Kalshi 最新概率: CD Recoleta 24% · 平局 38% · Libertad 30% (更新于 )
预测市场最看好平局，胜率 38%（Kalshi，截至 2026-10-05 02:23 UTC+8）。在 62 位持有胜平负仓位的盈利高手中，32 位（52%）选择Libertad胜。近 30 天，开赛前概率在 <50% 的市场热门方，在我们追踪的 1993 场已完赛比赛中赢了 43%。以上为数据参考，并非保证赛果。
截至 2026-10-05 02:23 UTC+8，Kalshi 显示：CD Recoleta 24%、平局 38%、Libertad 30%。这是平台显示价，未做归一，合计可能略高于 100%。
79 位盈利高手（在 Tips 上架、累计盈亏为正）持有本场仓位。每人最近一笔胜平负选择：CD Recoleta 9 (15%)、平局 21 (34%)、Libertad 32 (52%)。
CD Recoleta 近 5 场：平 负 负 负 负。Libertad 近 5 场：负 平 胜 胜 负。
数据来源：Polymarket、Kalshi 公开价格与持仓；比赛结果来自公开体育数据。数据截至 2026-10-05 02:23 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
79位盈利高手持有本场仓位。每人最近一笔胜平负选择：CD Recoleta胜 9 (15%) · 平局 21 (34%) · Libertad胜 32 (52%)。
| 2026-09-29 | vs San Lorenzo | 0-0 | 平 |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Luqueno | 0-1 | 负 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Trinidense | 1-3 | 负 |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Club Guarani | 0-2 | 负 |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Cerro Porteno | 1-3 | 负 |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Olimpia | 0-1 | 负 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 | 平 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CS 2 de Mayo | 2-0 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Rubio Nu | 4-2 | 胜 |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Club Nacional Asunción | 0-3 | 负 |
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | boychild Kalshi | Over 4.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | tarzan.bh Kalshi | REC +1.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | tarzan.bh Kalshi | LIB +2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Mercy.octopus1990 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | bottom.sloth1030 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | breakable.urchin3467 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | breakable.urchin3467 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | unanimousdecisions Kalshi | CD Recoleta wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | palm.height Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | historic.kitten0694 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Jtown2294 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | tchal Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | jumboz Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Syblix Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Syblix Kalshi | CD Recoleta wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | homeless.moorhen8260 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | ManuelMon Kalshi | CD Recoleta wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | unpleasant.dolphin1878 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | prime.doberman1404 Kalshi | CD Recoleta wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | official.trout4638 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | ideal.moorhen2061 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | eddypalmer Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | purplebubble850 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | ThomasYvon Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Luckymoneyssssss Kalshi | Over 2.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | emmita7k Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | marcojgil Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | misavilla25 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | week.chest Kalshi | Over 4.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | week.chest Kalshi | Over 5.5 | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | steep.starfish6806 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | thigh.lie Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | interim.flamingo7376 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | jova24 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | reluctant.falcon3591 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | united.mallard1761 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | rare.leopard3835 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Sicris Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | mom.belt Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Ronaldo28 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | fat.minekmacias Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | carlosr15 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | monetary.canary6720 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | lii71 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | marvellous.llama3974 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | far.saluki1822 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | maesg75 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | extensive.caterpillar5535 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | Goingcrazy Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | external.turaco9608 Kalshi | CD Recoleta wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | external.turaco9608 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | distant.skylark4627 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | average.flea2006 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | average.flea2006 Kalshi | CD Recoleta wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | yrncee13 Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | oral.porcupine9960 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | ban.plant Kalshi | Tie is the result | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | legal.swift2609 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | competitive.wolfdog6994 Kalshi | Libertad wins | 待结算 |
| 2026-10-04 | G316 Kalshi | Under 3.5 | 待结算 |