Kalshi · Football
chill.ball is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 63.2% win rate, $403 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 28 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% |
| NCAAF | 17 | 17 | 9 | 52.9% |
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| EFL Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Japan NPB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
chill.ball mainly predicts NFL: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $403, ROI 23.7%. In NFL, 11 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 09:08 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Dallas Mavericks 120:96 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | UTAH -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | ALA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | ALA +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | ALA -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Dayton Flyers 37:32 San Diego Toreros NCAAF | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Indiana Pacers 105:121 Dallas Mavericks NBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Colston Loveland: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Eli Raridon: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Kaelon Black: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | TB +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams 16:18 Arizona Cardinals NFL | LAR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | ALA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | IND +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | CLE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | GB -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Colorado Buffaloes 7:29 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Texas Tech wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Colorado Buffaloes 7:29 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Iowa Hawkeyes 14:31 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | 1H Under 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | UNT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Quinshon Judkins: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Minnesota 10:2 Texas MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 5:7 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Chris Brooks: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3:1 New York Mets MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Seattle 0:7 Houston MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Blake Corum: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | Team Over 31.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Kansas Jayhawks 17:24 Arizona State Sun Devils NCAAF | ASU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | UGA -23.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Jahmyr Gibbs: 30+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Texas 4:2 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 0:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 3:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Pat Bryant: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Pat Bryant: 25+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Minnesota win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Cincinnati Bengals 33:27 Tampa Bay NFL | Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game: Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31:30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | DET -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Under 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Orix Buffaloes 8:4 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Orix Buffaloes wins | Won |