Kalshi · Football
chrisbalencia is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 49 picks, 73.5% win rate, $296 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 40 | 40 | 28 | 70.0% |
| Liga MX | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
chrisbalencia mainly predicts World Cup: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.5% hit rate over 49 orders, P&L $296, ROI 30.6%. In World Cup, 28 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-26 05:40 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:1 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Corinthians wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Newell's Old Boys 2:1 Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Newell's Old Boys wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 2:0 Santander La Liga | Osasuna wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Leon 3:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 5:0 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Santos Laguna wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | AS Roma 2:0 Genoa CFC (Genoa) Serie A | Roma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Valencia 0:0 Bilbao La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 3:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | 7+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Costa Rica Intl Friendlies | ENG +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | Portugal vs Nigeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Intl Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Won |