Kalshi · Football
launch.spray is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 42 picks, 69.0% win rate, $9K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 22 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 20 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
launch.spray mainly predicts MLB: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 42 orders, P&L $9K, ROI 38.2%. In MLB, 10 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-08 02:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Baltimore Orioles 5:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 7:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Baltimore Orioles 3:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates 7:8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Angels 2:3 Houston Astros MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:10 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Angels 2:3 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Washington Nationals 8:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Miami Marlins 1:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates 7:8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Seattle Mariners 6:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | New York Yankees 2:8 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Washington 91:83 Atlanta NBA Summer League | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Memphis 101:90 Houston NBA Summer League | Over 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Orlando 103:97 Boston NBA Summer League | ORL +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee 96:94 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | Over 191.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Orlando 103:97 Boston NBA Summer League | Over 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | CHA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | New 77:87 Golden NBA Summer League | Over 176.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Chicago 82:105 Los Angeles Lakers NBA Summer League | Over 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Houston 100:83 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Over 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Oklahoma 87:97 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Over 182.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Under 195.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | LAC -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | Over 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Over 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Philadelphia 92:99 Orlando NBA Summer League | Under 191.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | Over 173.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Brooklyn 115:83 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Over 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Houston 90:64 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | HOU -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | BEL +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |