Kalshi · Basketball
lunch.piece is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 73.9% win rate, $220 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 45 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 45 have settled: 29 won, 16 lost, 64.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 23 | 23 | 17 | 73.9% |
| NBA Summer League | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| New Zealand NBL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
lunch.piece mainly predicts WNBA: 23 of the last 45 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.9% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $220, ROI 18.4%. In WNBA, 17 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-31 12:23 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Washington Mystics 100:99 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Storm 76:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Memphis 90:94 Golden NBA Summer League | Memphis to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto 89:96 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee 96:94 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | Milwaukee to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury 83:96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Houston 100:83 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | HOU +12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | MIN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Philadelphia 101:93 Detroit NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Nelson Giants 88:85 Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL | Franklin Bulls vs Nelson Giants Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Angola men's national basketball team (Angola) 73:79 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Egypt vs Angola Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Atlanta Dream 83:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98:90 Chicago Sky WNBA | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Las Vegas Aces 76:87 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Seattle Storm 110:112 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Indiana Fever 86:77 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 81:84 Alba Berlin Germany BBL | Alba Berlin vs Bayern Munich Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta Dream 113:96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Golden State Valkyries 75:81 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101:108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Chicago Sky 95:96 New York Liberty WNBA | NY +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Golden State Valkyries 78:58 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | GS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Phoenix Mercury 102:111 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Connecticut Sun 75:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Connecticut Sun 75:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Hawke's Bay Hawks 101:95 Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL | Franklin Bulls vs Hawke's Bay Hawks Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | SAS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Toronto Tempo 106:102 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | New York Liberty 83:75 Indiana Fever WNBA | NY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Atlanta Dream 109:77 Washington Mystics WNBA | ATL -20.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Atlanta Dream 109:77 Washington Mystics WNBA | ATL +12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Bahçeşehir Koleji S.K. (Bahcesehir Koleji) 98:95 Besiktas Turkey BSL | Besiktas JK vs Bahcesehir Koleji Winner | Lost |