Kalshi · Football
marinjr1 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 69.2% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 45 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 45 have settled: 34 won, 11 lost, 75.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 31 | 31 | 21 | 67.7% |
| Champions League | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Liga MX | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
marinjr1 mainly predicts World Cup: 31 of the last 45 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.2% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 12.7%. In World Cup, 21 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 04:49 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Rosenborg BK 0:5 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Raul Jimenez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | France win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | ENG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | POR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | SCO -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) Intl Friendlies | Mexico vs Australia Winner | Won |