Kalshi · Football
poison.ivy97 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 71 picks, 62.0% win rate, $772 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 30 | 30 | 19 | 63.3% |
| MLB | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NWSL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
poison.ivy97 mainly predicts World Cup: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.0% hit rate over 71 orders, P&L $772, ROI 18.5%. In World Cup, 19 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 10:51 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Giants 27:34 New Orleans Saints NFL | New Orleans wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Georgia Bulldogs 24:27 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New Orleans Saints 13:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31:30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game: New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Miami Marlins 1:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Texas Rangers 7:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Boston Legacy FC 1:0 Kansas City Current NWSL | Boston Legacy FC vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Houston Dash 1:0 Bay FC NWSL | Houston vs Bay FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Guayaquil City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Las Vegas Aces 68:84 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Regulation Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Connecticut Sun 83:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal Winner | Won |