Kalshi · Football
Thobymoney is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 72.2% win rate, $336 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 20 won, 36 lost, 35.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 9 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| NFL | 7 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Serie A | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Premier League | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Bundesliga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
Thobymoney mainly predicts MLS: 9 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.2% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $336, ROI 49.2%. In MLS, 2 of 9 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-03 10:18 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Seattle Seahawks 9:13 Chicago Bears NFL | 1H Under 17.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Seattle Seahawks 9:13 Chicago Bears NFL | 1H Under 20.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 2:1 Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 2:1 Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 1:0 F.C. Alverca (FC Alverca) Liga Portugal | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 0:3 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 0:1 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 0:1 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Al Ittihad 1:4 Al Ain FC AFC Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Al Ittihad 1:4 Al Ain FC AFC Champions League | Al-Ittihad wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | US Sassuolo Calcio 2:4 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Serie A | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Oviedo 2:3 Las Palmas La Liga 2 | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Chonburi F.C. (Chonburi) 1:0 Pathum United Thai League 1 | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Chonburi F.C. (Chonburi) 1:0 Pathum United Thai League 1 | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Chonburi F.C. (Chonburi) 1:0 Pathum United Thai League 1 | Pathum United wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Houston MLS | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Houston MLS | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Washington Commanders 27:10 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Under 29.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Washington Commanders 27:10 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Under 38.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Houston MLS | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Leon Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Washington Commanders 27:10 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | 1H Under 21.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles FC 1:3 Minnesota MLS | Los Angeles F wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Leon Liga MX | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | New England 1:2 Inter Miami CF MLS | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Ind. Medellin 2:1 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | North Carolina Courage W 1:0 Denver Summit FC W NWSL | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Cali 2:0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Nashville SC 3:2 Red Bull New York (New York RB) MLS | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Bilbao 2:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 5:1 Seattle MLS | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Dallas Cowboys 30:33 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Bilbao 2:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 2:0 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Juventus FC 2:0 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara (Leones Negros) 3:1 Tepatitlán F.C. (Tepatitlan) Liga de Expansion MX | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Sevilla W 1:3 Real Madrid W Spanish Liga F | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Dallas Cowboys 30:33 Arizona Cardinals NFL | 1H Under 21.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Elche CF 0:1 Valencia La Liga | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Elche CF 0:1 Valencia La Liga | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 3:1 Hamburg Bundesliga | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | US Lecce 1:2 Genoa CFC (Genoa) Serie A | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Alacranes 3:1 Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) Liga de Expansion MX | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | CF Pachuca 3:0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) 1:0 Avai Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 2:2 San Lorenzo de Almagro Argentina Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Georgia Bulldogs 27:8 Florida Gators NCAAF | 1H Under 16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Air Force Falcons 35:26 UConn Huskies NCAAF | 1H Under 30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | AC Milan 3:1 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Kansas City 1:1 FC Dallas MLS | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Charlotte FC 4:0 Orlando MLS | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 1:1 Sittard Eredivisie | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Bremen 2:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) Bundesliga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Bremen 2:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) Bundesliga | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 2:1 AC Monza Serie A | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |