Kalshi · Football
rafapay2020 is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 30 picks, 73.3% win rate, $621 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 24 | 24 | 18 | 75.0% |
| EuroLeague | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Europa League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Women's Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
rafapay2020 mainly predicts NBA: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.3% hit rate over 30 orders, P&L $621, ROI 25.2%. In NBA, 18 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 12:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Over 229.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Over 225.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Paris Basketball 94:96 Virtus Bologna EuroLeague | Over 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Paris Basketball 94:96 Virtus Bologna EuroLeague | Over 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Anadolu Efes 93:101 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) EuroLeague | Over 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Hapoel Tel Aviv (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) 100:82 Besiktas EuroLeague | Over 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Sacramento Kings 98:110 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Over 207.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Sacramento Kings 98:110 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | POR -11.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder 114:112 Indiana Pacers NBA | Under 228.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder 114:112 Indiana Pacers NBA | Under 204.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder 114:112 Indiana Pacers NBA | Over 208.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder 114:112 Indiana Pacers NBA | Over 220.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 119:109 San Antonio Spurs NBA | Over 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | New York Knicks 104:122 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Over 225.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | New York Knicks 104:122 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Over 221.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Washington Wizards 122:131 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Over 253.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Washington Wizards 122:131 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Over 251.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Atlanta Hawks 113:110 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Over 213.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | PAOK FC (PAOK) 1:3 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Greece Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Modern 3:2 ENPPI SC (Enppi) Egyptian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | PAOK FC (PAOK) 1:3 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Greece Super League | PAOK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Denver Nuggets 133:128 Chicago Bulls NBA | Over 262.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Denver Nuggets 133:128 Chicago Bulls NBA | Over 256.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Final score Pumas UNAM wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Denver Nuggets 133:128 Chicago Bulls NBA | Under 254.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Charlotte Hornets 105:90 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Over 194.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Charlotte Hornets 105:90 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Over 200.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers 119:105 Orlando Magic NBA | Over 221.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | CF Pachuca 3:3 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | 3Q Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | 2H Under 20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Golden State Warriors 111:106 Sacramento Kings NBA | Over 221.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Heat (Heat) 124:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Over 246.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Wizards 114:108 Detroit Pistons NBA | Over 202.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Toronto Raptors 114:106 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Over 219.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Yokohama 1:2 Oita Japan J2 League | Yokohama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | Over 30.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lyon W 0:0 Chelsea W Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Roma Women 0:6 FC Barcelona W Women's Champions League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Trinidad and Tobago wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 1:0 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Real Madrid CF Femenino 1:1 PSG W Women's Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | El Calor de Cancun 83:86 Diablos Rojos Del Mexico Mexico LNBP | El Calor de Cancun wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Leon 1:0 America Leagues Cup | Reg Time: America wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) 5:2 Mantova 1911 Coppa Italia | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | America 1:1 Austin FC Leagues Cup | America vs Austin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Philadelphia 0:2 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 0:0 Olimpia CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2:1 Macara CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) 5:1 Shamrock Europa League | EGR -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) 5:1 Shamrock Europa League | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | HNK Hajduk Split (Hajduk) 4:0 FK Žalgiris (Zalgiris Vilnius) Conference League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) 1:1 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) 1:1 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | FC Sion 2:1 Noah Yerevan Conference League | Sion vs Noah Yerevan Winner | Won |