Kalshi · Baseball · American football · Football
leopoldas is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 53 picks, 84.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 45 won, 15 lost, 75.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 11 | 11 | 10 | 90.9% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| La Liga | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| Premier League | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| UEFA Nations League | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
leopoldas mainly predicts World Cup: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 84.0% hit rate over 53 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 12.0%. In World Cup, 10 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 21:54 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | France 1–1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) UEFA Nations League | FRA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Las Vegas Aces 94–83 Indiana Fever WNBA | Jackie Young: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2–4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | POR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Dallas Wings 108–100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | DAL +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Liberty 87–71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Breanna Stewart: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | ENG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31–24 New York Jets NFL | Over 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | ESP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | FRA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Portland Fire 90–82 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Gabby Williams: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Portland Fire 90–82 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Kayla Thornton: 4+ rebounds | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Indiana Fever 96–77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Napheesa Collier: 6+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5–3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Washington State Cougars 48–7 Duquesne Dukes College Football | Under 62.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Oregon Ducks 84–0 Portland State Vikings College Football | ORE -48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | AS Monaco FC 2–1 R.C. Lens (Lens) Ligue 1 | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1–3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Washington Nationals 6–3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31–30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | Over 38.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Getafe CF 1–1 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39–31 Oregon Ducks College Football | ORE -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Virginia Tech Hokies 44–21 Old Dominion Monarchs College Football | VT -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Boston College Eagles 28–21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights College Football | BC +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Lille OSC (Lille) 2–3 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) UEFA Champions League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe CF 1–1 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–2 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | PSG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Toulouse FC 0–1 Lille OSC (Lille) Ligue 1 | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 1–0 Getafe CF La Liga | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Fire 69–86 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 167.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 5–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | SS Lazio 1–0 Genoa CFC (Genoa) Serie A | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Sevilla FC 1–3 Atletico La Liga | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Real Sociedad 2–1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1–4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad La Liga | 11+ total corners | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Angels 6–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0–1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | San Diego Padres 2–3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2–3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Chicago Sky 90–113 Indiana Fever WNBA | Kelsey Mitchell: 30+ points | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2–1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1–2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) German Super Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2–0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | FK Crvena zvezda 0–2 Be`er Sheva UEFA Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | ARG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | ESP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Seattle Storm 105–90 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | MAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |