Kalshi · Baseball
long.soap is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 39 picks, 61.5% win rate, $570 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 46 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 46 have settled: 26 won, 20 lost, 56.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 39 | 39 | 24 | 61.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
long.soap mainly predicts MLB: 39 of the last 46 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.5% hit rate over 39 orders, P&L $570, ROI 15.5%. In MLB, 24 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-04 10:29 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7–13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7–6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Atlanta Braves 4–2 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | San Diego Padres 6–5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8–7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8–7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | St. Louis Cardinals 6–10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6–10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Houston Astros 5–3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Atlanta 5–11 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Boston 10–2 Washington MLB | Washington vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Kansas City 0–4 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Baltimore 6–1 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Athletics 4–9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Seattle 6–2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Baltimore 9–3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Boston 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Boston 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | San Diego 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Milwaukee 3–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Detroit 5–7 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Toronto 2–3 Texas MLB | Texas vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Detroit 6–8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 3–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5–10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Detroit 0–8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6–9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5–1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 2–1 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Diego 2–5 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Detroit 2–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | St. Louis 4–9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Tampa Bay 5–3 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-29 | Golden State Valkyries 90–88 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Golden State winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | SAS -3.5 | Won |