Kalshi · 棒球
long.soap，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：35 单、命中率 62.9%、盈利 $484。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 51 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 51 条：命中 28、未中 23，这批记录的命中率为 54.9%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 42 | 42 | 24 | 57.1% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
long.soap 主要预测MLB：最近 51 条记录中有 42 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：35 单、命中率 62.9%、盈亏 $484、回报率 23.6%。在MLB，最近 42 条已结算预测中命中 24 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-10-23 07:41 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 克里夫兰骑士 (Cleveland Cavaliers) NBA | PHI -2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 克里夫兰骑士 (Cleveland Cavaliers) NBA | PHI -3.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Atlanta Braves 4:2 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Atlanta Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -5.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-01 | San Diego Padres 6:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Pittsburgh Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-24 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-23 | Houston Astros 5:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-22 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-01 | Atlanta 5:1 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Atlanta Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-01 | Colorado 3:14 Miami MLB | Miami vs Colorado First Inning Run | 未中 |
| 2026-07-01 | Boston 1:8 Washington MLB | Washington vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kansas City 0:4 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kansas City 0:4 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Kansas City First Inning Run | 未中 |
| 2026-06-30 | Baltimore 3:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-30 | 科特迪瓦国家足球队 (Ivory Coast) 1:2 挪威国家足球队 (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 摩洛哥国家足球队 (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | 未中 |
| 2026-06-30 | Athletics 4:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs A's Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-30 | Seattle 6:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-29 | Baltimore 2:8 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-29 | Boston 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-28 | Boston 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-28 | San Diego 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs San Diego Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-28 | Milwaukee 3:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-28 | Detroit 5:7 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-28 | Toronto 2:3 Texas MLB | Texas vs Toronto Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-26 | Detroit 8:0 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-26 | 挪威国家足球队 (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 3:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5:10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | Detroit 0:8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6:9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-25 | 匹兹堡河犬 (Pittsburgh) 5:1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 2:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-25 | San Diego 5:2 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-24 | Detroit 2:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Detroit Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-24 | St. Louis 4:9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-23 | Tampa Bay 5:12 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-15 | 比利时国家足球队 (Belgium) 1:1 埃及国家足球队 (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-05-29 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 90:88 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Indiana vs Golden State winner | 未中 |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118:91 俄克拉荷马城雷霆 (Oklahoma City) NBA | SAS -3.5 | 命中 |