Kalshi · Baseball · American football · Top pro
livedonasandbar is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 51 picks, 68.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 52 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 52 have settled: 35 won, 17 lost, 67.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 18 | 64.3% |
| College Football | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| NFL | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
livedonasandbar mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 52 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.0% hit rate over 51 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 19.0%. In MLB, 18 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 00:57 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0–3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33–35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) College Football | VT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3–7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30–27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | CIN -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24–16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | BUF +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31–24 New York Jets NFL | DET -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Delaware State Hornets 33–28 Towson Tigers College Football | DSU +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19–20 Iowa Hawkeyes College Football | MICH +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Alabama Crimson Tide 49–18 South Carolina Gamecocks College Football | ALA +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17–20 Texas Longhorns College Football | Under 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Western Michigan Broncos 7–32 Boise State Broncos College Football | BSU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17–20 Texas Longhorns College Football | TEX -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | IND +21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 6–5 Houston MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | UAB Blazers 24–20 Navy Midshipmen College Football | NAVY -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Toronto 6–5 Cincinnati MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 0–1 Cleveland MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1–5 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees 6–4 Tampa Bay MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2–4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 2–3 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Chicago Cubs 2–8 Miami MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Kansas City 11–14 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Athletics 9–7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Francisco 49ers 35–13 MIA Dolphins NFL | SF -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37–20 WAS Commanders NFL | DAL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Iowa Hawkeyes 55–0 Northern Iowa Panthers College Football | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | St. Louis 1–9 Washington MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–9 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas 7–1 Toronto MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 3–4 Boston MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 3–4 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians 7–6 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–4 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts 23–41 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | West Virginia Mountaineers 31–24 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers College Football | WVU +21.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | North Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | TCU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Miami Dolphins 12–17 Atlanta Falcons NFL | ATL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Mets 2–8 Milwaukee MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | St. Louis Cardinals 7–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Mets 1–8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Miami Marlins 8–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Athletics 4–12 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Lost |